Viernes, 22 Junio, 2018

Jeremy Corbyn most tweeted-about leader on campaign trail, analysis reveals

Danilo Martir | 08 Junio, 2017, 17:04

In the 2015 general election, then Prime Minister David Cameron led Conservatives had won 331 seats, giving the Tories a small but significant majority, and the Labour party won 232 seats. This strategy has worked to an extent with polls on leadership consistently backing May over Corbyn as a more trusted leader.

The majority of experts who spoke to The New Daily, predict the Conservatives maintain the edge, however some have suggested the result would be too close to call with greater certainty until Friday.

That above scenario may still happen, but what's clear is that the UK's political landscape has changed significantly before a vote has even been cast.

The past weeks have led to an 11-point gain by the Labour, the most dramatic consistent movement in the polls in modern British electoral history, said Dr. John Curtice, a pollster and professor of politics at University of Strathclyde.

When May stunned political opponents and financial markets by calling the snap election, her poll ratings indicated she could be on course to win a landslide majority on a par with the 1983 majority of 144 won by Margaret Thatcher.

In the United Kingdom system, the Prime Minister is the leader of the party able to form a government, meaning they need the support of the majority of the House of Commons - where MPs sit - or 326 seats. The Conservatives now have 330 to Labour's 229.

So whether you've been watching it closely or are just planning to follow the results, here are some things to consider as the counts and exit polls start coming in from 10pm tonight.

But first, we have answered some crucial questions which you may not know the answers to.

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The UK's first-past-the-post voting system, where the candidate with the most votes in a given constituency takes the seat, means results come out a lot quicker than during Ireland's PR-STV system.

The exit polls from the United Kingdom media will give a strong indication even before that and should at least let us know how tight the result will be.

Polls close at 10 p m United Kingdom time (2.30 am IST), with results expected to begin rolling in within an hour or so after voting finishes.

The two variables are far from independent: at least some of the increase in searches for Mr Corbyn surely comes from internet users curious about his climb in the polls.

Should we believe the polls?

Panelbase had the gap steady at eight points, Opinium at seven points, and a SurveyMonkey poll for The Sun had the topline figures of Tories 42% and Labour 38%.

The way people vote on Thursday will determine whether Theresa May hangs onto the keys to 10 Downing Street, or unceremoniously hands them over to a new occupant, the Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn.

YouGov, which found the Conservatives' lead had increased to seven percentage points from four during the weekend, also said Mrs May would bolster her power in parliament.

Qatar investigation finds state news agency hacked
Trump says isolating Qatar could mark the "beginning of the end to the horror of terrorism" and backs Saudi Arabia and its allies. Foreign Minister Anwar Gargash said that Qatar had benefited from a mixture of "money and media and partisanship and extremism".

The Conservatives were also damaged by a manifesto plan for elderly care that would see many people pay more.

The company insisted that particular scenario would only occur on a very bad night for the Tories.

The unexpected proposal to scrap a planned cap on social care costs changed the momentum of the campaign, as nearly immediately the polls began to tighten, while Tory candidates found anxious voters raising the issue of what the opposition parties quickly dubbed the "dementia tax" on the doorstep.

He stated that he was proud of the slogan "for the many not for the few", stated that Labour had grown in structure and urged voters to pledge their support for Mr Ostrowski in the ballot boxes tomorrow.

Where is the battle for voters being fought?

However, as the campaign progressed the polls narrowed sharply.

What initially seemed the dullest campaign in memory has been transformed through unexpected missteps, surprise developments - and deadly attacks that have pushed national security to the top of the agenda.

Electorally, where Brexit will have a big effect is in the falling away of the 2015 Ukip vote.

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